AI RESEARCH
Empirical Bayes Conformal Prediction for Vision and Language Models
arXiv CS.LG
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ArXi:2605.23189v1 Announce Type: new Conformal prediction (CP) gives distribution-free coverage for modern vision and language models, but it is often forced to make a ranking decision from a single unstable nonconformity score. Standard CP uses one realization, while average-then-calibrate variants smooth multiple realizations into a point estimate. Both options discard the inconsistency that can help identify whether a candidate is indeed stable.