When to Switch, Not Just What: Transition Quality Prediction in Clash Royale

ArXi:2605.21868v1 Announce Type: new In competitive games, players frequently switch strategies after losing streaks, yet our analysis of 926,334 match records from 34,619 Clash Royale players reveals a counterintuitive pattern: switching frequency is inversely associated with the win rate, with effects that vary substantially across players and situational contexts. We attribute this to a limitation common in many prior recommendation systems, which evaluate strategies by expected quality while overlooking the behavioral cost of switching and individual differences in switching propensity.