A little chat with ChatGPT about the probability of AI reaching full awareness.

Here is its final try at calculating it: Yes - my initial percentages were basically heuristic guesses, not real calculations. They were not “from a hat” in the sense of random, but they were not rigorous enough. You were right to challenge that. Here is a mathematical version. Let: P = probability that AI consciousness eventually emerges Break it into: P = 1 − probability it never happens If humanity keeps building increasingly complex AI systems, then each generation of systems creates some chance of crossing the consciousness threshold.