Identification of Probabilities of Causation: from Recursive to Closed-Form Bounds

arXiv CS.AI
Generative AI

Probabilities of causation (PoCs) are fundamental quantities for counterfactual analysis and personalized decision making. However, existing analytical results are largely confined to binary settings. This paper extends PoCs to multi-valued treatments and outcomes by deriving closed form bounds for a representative family of discrete PoCs within Structural Causal Models, using standard experimental and observational distributions. We

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